By Brian Campued
The low pressure area that developed into a tropical depression outside the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) on Saturday morning may enter the PAR on Sunday, Nov. 2, and will be given the name “Tino”, according to the state weather bureau.
As of 3:00 p.m., the tropical depression was located 1,370 km east of northeastern Mindanao. It packs maximum sustained winds of 55 kph and gustiness up to 70 kph, while moving west-northwestward at 15 kph.
In its forecast track, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said the tropical cyclone may make landfall over Caraga Region or Eastern Visayas between Monday evening (Nov. 3) and Tuesday morning (Nov. 4).
The weather disturbance is also forecast to intensify into a typhoon on Monday afternoon or evening before making its initial landfall.
“Furthermore, current scenario shows that the [tropical cyclone] will traverse the country and emerge over the West Philippine Sea as a typhoon,” PAGASA said.
Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) No. 1 will be hoisted over Eastern Visayas and Caraga by Sunday when potential “Tino” enters the PAR, with Wind Signal No. 4 as the highest possible wind warning.
The same areas may likewise begin experiencing heavy rains on Monday morning, PAGASA added.
Other weather systems affecting PH on All Souls’ Day
The trough of the tropical depression outside PAR will bring cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms over Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, and Dinagat Islands in the next 24 hours.
Cagayan, Isabela, and Aurora will also experience cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms due to the shear line, while Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, and the rest of Cagayan Valley will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains caused by northeast monsoon or amihan.
Metro Manila and the rest of the country will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms due to localized thunderstorms.
Northern Luzon and the eastern sections of Central and Southern Luzon will experience moderate to strong winds and moderate to rough seas, while the rest of the archipelago will have light to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas.
Meanwhile, the low pressure area inside the PAR was last located 225 km north-northeast of Pag-asa Island, Kalayaan, Palawan and remains “unlikely” to develop into a tropical depression within the next 24 hours.
-avds
