Palace: Low inflation, steady growth shield poorest Filipinos in 2025

MARKET DAY. A vegetable stall inside the Paco Public Market in Manila is packed with marketgoers on Thursday (Aug. 21, 2025), a special non-working holiday to commemorate Ninoy Aquino Day. (PNA photo by Yancy Lim)

By Darryl John Esguerra | Philippine News Agency

The Marcos Jr. administration has shielded the country’s poorest families from rising prices by keeping inflation low and sustaining economic growth in 2025, Malacañang said Sunday.

Data show inflation eased to 1.6% from January to November 2025, down from 3.4% in 2024, continuing a steady decline from 5.8% in 2022 and 6.0% in 2023.

Executive Secretary Ralph Recto said the sharp slowdown in inflation reflects decisive government action to stabilize prices, secure food supply, and protect household purchasing power, particularly for rice, which accounts for the largest share of spending among low-income families.

“To put this in perspective, a 6% inflation rate means that your P100 can buy only about P94 worth of goods and services. But with inflation down to just 1.6% in 2025, that same P100 can now buy about P98.4 worth of goods and services,” Recto said.

“Kaya napakahalaga nito para sa bawat pamilyang Pilipino, lalo na ang mga mahihirap. Kapag mababa ang inflation, napapanatili natin na abot-kaya ang mga pangunahing bilihin, lalo na ang pagkain,” he added.

Rice prices have continued to improve following President Ferdinand R. Marcos Jr.’s directive for the Department of Agriculture to bring prices down to P20 per kilo, roughly half the average price in 2022.

As a result, inflation for the bottom 30% income households fell to -0.2% in November 2025, marking the sixth consecutive month of contraction, underscoring the direct impact of price stabilization on vulnerable sectors.

The Philippines’ low and stable inflation environment was cited by S&P Global Ratings, which recently reaffirmed the country’s ‘BBB+’ high investment-grade rating with a Positive Outlook, signaling confidence in the government’s economic management.

Lower prices and a strong labor market are expected to boost domestic consumption, while easing inflation gives the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas more policy space to recalibrate interest rates in support of economic activity.

Multilateral institutions remain optimistic, with the Asian Development Bank projecting 5% GDP growth and both the World Bank and International Monetary Fund seeing 5.1% growth for 2025.

The Philippines’ projected expansion outpaces the 1.6% average growth of advanced economies and the 4.2% average growth of ASEAN-5 countries this year.

By 2026, the IMF projects the Philippines to be the fastest-growing economy in ASEAN, tied with Vietnam at 5.6% (PNA)

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